Race 2A

yale-fall-invite

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Blake Behrens 27.4% 22.0% 16.6% 13.9% 9.2% 5.5% 2.1% 1.6% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Tavia Smith 5.7% 6.4% 6.9% 7.5% 11.9% 10.1% 9.6% 10.9% 11.4% 8.5% 6.2% 3.3% 1.6%
Wilson Kaznoski 3.1% 3.1% 4.8% 6.1% 7.5% 8.8% 8.7% 9.9% 11.6% 11.9% 11.1% 8.4% 5.0%
Connor Macken 6.2% 7.6% 9.6% 8.8% 10.8% 11.2% 10.3% 9.3% 10.5% 6.6% 5.6% 2.4% 1.1%
Andrew White 1.4% 1.3% 1.4% 1.7% 2.3% 2.9% 2.9% 3.7% 5.1% 7.1% 9.9% 17.6% 42.7%
Martins Atilla 17.8% 15.7% 15.6% 13.6% 12.3% 7.7% 7.7% 4.7% 2.6% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1%
Alexandra Chigas 6.4% 8.3% 8.7% 8.9% 9.7% 11.4% 9.8% 10.5% 7.7% 8.5% 6.3% 2.9% 0.9%
Laura Hamilton 18.1% 17.9% 16.4% 13.6% 11.6% 11.2% 4.0% 3.6% 2.2% 0.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Caylin Schnoor 2.7% 4.7% 4.5% 4.3% 5.0% 6.4% 9.8% 9.4% 10.6% 13.0% 11.1% 12.1% 6.4%
Reid Nelson 2.8% 3.9% 3.3% 5.5% 4.1% 7.0% 8.1% 8.6% 10.5% 11.6% 11.9% 12.9% 9.8%
Jakub Fuja 4.5% 5.0% 6.8% 8.3% 8.5% 8.5% 12.1% 11.4% 10.2% 8.6% 8.0% 5.7% 2.4%
Nolan Cooper 1.9% 3.0% 3.4% 5.0% 3.7% 5.3% 7.7% 8.9% 9.5% 11.5% 13.0% 16.9% 10.2%
Beck Lorsch 2.0% 1.1% 2.0% 2.8% 3.4% 4.0% 7.2% 7.5% 7.0% 9.7% 15.8% 17.7% 19.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.