Race 3A

yale-fall-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Wilson Kaznoski 3.4% 4.9% 2.9% 6.0% 9.3% 8.3% 8.1% 9.8% 11.6% 12.5% 10.7% 7.6% 4.9%
Connor Macken 6.6% 8.0% 8.7% 10.5% 10.1% 11.2% 10.7% 11.0% 7.9% 6.7% 5.6% 2.3% 0.7%
Andrew White 0.9% 0.6% 1.3% 0.9% 2.1% 1.8% 3.5% 3.6% 6.3% 7.8% 9.8% 16.3% 45.1%
Blake Behrens 27.4% 21.5% 15.8% 15.2% 8.4% 5.8% 3.4% 1.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Tavia Smith 6.9% 5.7% 9.5% 7.8% 9.1% 11.3% 10.3% 10.0% 10.8% 7.8% 6.0% 3.7% 1.1%
Jakub Fuja 4.0% 5.7% 6.9% 7.0% 8.8% 9.1% 9.9% 10.5% 10.7% 9.9% 9.3% 6.4% 1.8%
Martins Atilla 18.5% 14.7% 15.0% 14.7% 11.3% 9.9% 7.0% 4.9% 2.3% 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Alexandra Chigas 5.5% 7.6% 9.1% 8.7% 9.3% 11.4% 10.2% 12.2% 9.3% 7.3% 5.6% 2.8% 1.0%
Caylin Schnoor 2.7% 4.1% 4.7% 4.3% 6.1% 6.5% 9.6% 9.5% 10.4% 12.3% 12.7% 10.5% 6.6%
Reid Nelson 2.9% 3.6% 3.7% 5.0% 5.3% 5.2% 9.5% 8.6% 10.3% 11.4% 12.1% 12.5% 9.9%
Laura Hamilton 18.2% 18.8% 15.8% 13.9% 12.5% 8.9% 5.3% 3.0% 1.7% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Nolan Cooper 1.5% 3.1% 4.0% 3.7% 4.5% 5.8% 7.4% 7.7% 10.4% 12.0% 13.5% 15.8% 10.6%
Beck Lorsch 1.5% 1.7% 2.6% 2.3% 3.2% 4.8% 5.1% 7.6% 7.8% 9.9% 13.5% 21.7% 18.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.