Race 6A

yale-fall-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Laura Hamilton 18.3% 17.1% 16.9% 11.9% 11.3% 9.4% 7.1% 4.2% 2.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Blake Behrens 28.5% 21.4% 17.6% 12.8% 7.9% 6.0% 3.0% 1.6% 0.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Tavia Smith 4.5% 5.5% 9.2% 8.2% 9.4% 9.6% 11.1% 10.4% 12.0% 8.4% 6.5% 4.0% 1.2%
Wilson Kaznoski 3.1% 4.1% 4.7% 6.1% 7.7% 7.5% 10.2% 8.6% 9.6% 13.2% 11.9% 8.5% 4.8%
Connor Macken 7.4% 8.2% 8.6% 11.3% 9.9% 9.2% 11.3% 10.2% 9.1% 6.6% 4.5% 3.0% 0.7%
Andrew White 0.5% 1.3% 1.3% 1.7% 3.1% 3.0% 2.6% 3.9% 4.4% 7.8% 9.8% 15.3% 45.3%
Beck Lorsch 2.7% 2.3% 2.0% 4.2% 3.3% 5.6% 5.3% 6.9% 7.2% 8.6% 14.3% 18.7% 18.9%
Jakub Fuja 5.1% 5.8% 6.1% 6.8% 8.1% 7.8% 10.4% 11.4% 12.6% 9.6% 8.7% 5.3% 2.3%
Martins Atilla 15.9% 17.3% 14.9% 13.7% 11.3% 10.4% 6.5% 4.7% 3.3% 0.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Alexandra Chigas 7.2% 7.8% 6.5% 9.7% 11.6% 9.7% 10.2% 9.6% 9.1% 7.0% 6.5% 4.1% 1.0%
Caylin Schnoor 2.8% 3.1% 5.5% 5.9% 6.0% 7.8% 8.8% 10.5% 11.9% 11.8% 10.2% 9.7% 6.0%
Reid Nelson 2.2% 3.3% 3.1% 4.2% 6.0% 7.5% 6.5% 8.9% 8.8% 11.8% 13.4% 15.6% 8.7%
Nolan Cooper 1.8% 2.8% 3.6% 3.5% 4.4% 6.5% 7.0% 9.1% 9.2% 12.7% 12.8% 15.5% 11.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.