Race 7A

yale-fall-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Wilson Kaznoski 3.2% 4.7% 3.1% 7.6% 7.6% 7.7% 8.2% 9.5% 11.4% 12.7% 11.4% 8.0% 4.9%
Tavia Smith 5.3% 6.1% 7.7% 9.3% 9.0% 9.0% 10.6% 11.8% 11.3% 7.5% 7.4% 3.4% 1.6%
Blake Behrens 27.4% 22.8% 16.0% 12.7% 9.9% 5.4% 3.3% 1.3% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Martins Atilla 16.4% 15.6% 16.8% 13.7% 11.2% 10.2% 7.4% 4.5% 2.2% 1.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
Laura Hamilton 18.5% 16.8% 17.0% 13.1% 12.7% 8.1% 6.1% 4.2% 1.7% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Connor Macken 6.8% 7.7% 7.8% 10.3% 12.0% 11.6% 11.3% 8.7% 7.4% 7.5% 5.1% 3.0% 0.8%
Alexandra Chigas 7.8% 7.3% 8.0% 8.6% 8.1% 12.1% 10.3% 10.0% 9.6% 8.5% 6.2% 2.4% 1.1%
Reid Nelson 2.0% 4.1% 3.6% 5.4% 3.7% 6.5% 8.6% 9.1% 10.0% 12.2% 13.3% 13.4% 8.1%
Andrew White 0.9% 1.4% 1.7% 2.3% 1.8% 1.9% 2.6% 5.1% 4.8% 6.7% 9.2% 18.8% 42.8%
Caylin Schnoor 3.9% 3.7% 5.0% 3.8% 7.1% 6.3% 7.8% 10.8% 12.3% 10.4% 11.4% 10.1% 7.4%
Jakub Fuja 3.9% 6.1% 7.8% 6.5% 8.9% 9.7% 10.9% 10.2% 10.7% 9.9% 7.8% 5.1% 2.5%
Beck Lorsch 1.5% 1.7% 2.5% 2.8% 3.5% 5.3% 5.6% 6.2% 7.5% 10.8% 13.0% 18.8% 20.8%
Nolan Cooper 2.4% 2.0% 3.0% 3.9% 4.5% 6.2% 7.3% 8.6% 10.4% 10.8% 14.4% 16.6% 9.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.