Race 10A

south-series-7-salve-regina

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Matthew Schon 13.3% 16.7% 17.0% 13.1% 13.4% 10.3% 8.3% 4.1% 2.6% 1.1% 0.1%
Timothy Scanlon 10.6% 10.2% 11.3% 12.2% 12.9% 9.9% 10.9% 8.5% 8.9% 3.6% 1.0%
T. Max Bulger 8.6% 8.9% 9.5% 11.6% 11.8% 13.1% 10.6% 10.6% 7.9% 5.9% 1.5%
Peter Pellegrini 28.8% 21.8% 18.0% 13.6% 7.8% 4.8% 3.0% 1.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Cecilia Strombeck 13.2% 13.1% 12.2% 12.1% 12.5% 11.3% 10.0% 7.1% 5.6% 2.4% 0.5%
Steven Pelissier 7.0% 9.8% 9.0% 9.9% 9.7% 12.6% 10.8% 11.6% 9.1% 7.5% 3.0%
Jacob Tronaas 5.6% 4.1% 6.5% 7.2% 7.3% 9.6% 10.9% 12.6% 13.8% 12.7% 9.7%
Zachary O'Brien 2.8% 1.9% 3.3% 3.1% 4.1% 6.6% 6.1% 11.1% 11.0% 19.1% 30.9%
Tyler Black 4.5% 5.4% 4.1% 7.0% 8.1% 8.5% 11.4% 13.1% 13.6% 13.5% 10.8%
Alexander Rudkin 4.1% 5.9% 5.5% 6.8% 7.7% 8.5% 11.4% 11.5% 14.9% 14.2% 9.5%
Ian Gilchrist 1.5% 2.2% 3.6% 3.4% 4.7% 4.8% 6.6% 8.2% 12.2% 19.8% 33.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.