Race 1B

south-series-7-salve-regina

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Patrick Clancy 27.7% 25.2% 17.3% 13.8% 9.1% 4.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sky Adams 10.4% 11.1% 13.7% 14.1% 15.5% 14.1% 11.2% 7.4% 2.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Peter Hughes 9.0% 9.0% 11.7% 13.7% 13.3% 15.9% 14.5% 10.0% 2.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Ben Weigel 22.8% 21.9% 19.6% 14.5% 10.9% 6.1% 2.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Eric Decesar 14.1% 14.7% 14.0% 15.8% 13.0% 11.8% 10.1% 4.7% 1.8% 0.0% 0.0%
William Simon 4.6% 6.4% 8.1% 9.5% 12.4% 14.3% 16.6% 16.4% 11.0% 0.7% 0.0%
Ian Hollerbach 6.0% 6.0% 8.2% 8.5% 11.6% 13.8% 18.3% 18.1% 8.4% 1.1% 0.0%
Christopher Cason 3.5% 3.6% 4.5% 6.3% 9.9% 12.5% 13.6% 22.8% 20.9% 2.4% 0.0%
Noah Langholz 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.6% 1.4% 20.9% 76.2%
Douglas Young 1.6% 1.9% 2.7% 3.5% 3.8% 6.5% 10.4% 16.6% 46.1% 6.6% 0.3%
Marco Catipovic 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 1.8% 5.0% 67.8% 23.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.