Race 1A

cofc-fall-women

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Marissa Tegeder 8.7% 7.5% 10.4% 9.5% 11.3% 12.2% 13.7% 13.9% 12.8%
Agija Elerte 11.5% 14.6% 17.4% 12.4% 12.9% 13.2% 8.3% 5.7% 4.0%
Laura Smith 6.8% 7.7% 8.6% 10.4% 11.1% 11.8% 13.8% 15.3% 14.5%
Marina Dreyfuss 7.5% 10.4% 9.7% 12.4% 10.8% 11.9% 12.2% 12.1% 13.0%
Katie Nelson 15.0% 18.0% 12.3% 10.9% 12.2% 9.6% 9.5% 7.4% 5.1%
Arantxa Argibay 5.7% 6.4% 7.9% 8.1% 10.4% 12.0% 13.3% 16.0% 20.2%
Rowan Schanley 8.3% 7.7% 9.6% 12.6% 11.4% 12.1% 14.0% 12.4% 11.9%
Annika VanderHorst 7.9% 6.2% 8.6% 9.5% 11.5% 10.7% 12.1% 15.5% 18.0%
Olivia Sowa 28.6% 21.5% 15.5% 14.2% 8.4% 6.5% 3.1% 1.7% 0.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.