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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.65+2.01vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.43+3.64vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.08+1.10vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.37+1.46vs Predicted
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5Florida State University0.97-0.79vs Predicted
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6University of Miami0.14+0.03vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-1.23vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston0.48-2.67vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida0.45-3.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.01North Carolina State University1.650.3%1st Place
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5.64University of Wisconsin0.430.1%1st Place
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4.1Jacksonville University1.080.1%1st Place
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5.46Christopher Newport University0.370.1%1st Place
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4.21Florida State University0.970.2%1st Place
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6.03University of Miami0.140.1%1st Place
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5.77U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.1%1st Place
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5.33College of Charleston0.480.1%1st Place
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5.43University of South Florida0.450.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Sowa | 25.9% | 23.0% | 16.9% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 14.6% |
| Agija Elerte | 15.0% | 14.5% | 14.5% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 2.7% |
| Laura Smith | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 14.0% |
| Katie Nelson | 15.1% | 17.6% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 4.5% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 15.6% | 14.6% | 20.9% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 15.2% | 16.6% |
| Rowan Schanley | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 12.6% |
| Marina Dreyfuss | 8.4% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 13.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.