Race 3A

cofc-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Arantxa Argibay 6.3% 5.8% 8.8% 7.4% 8.6% 11.5% 13.3% 17.4% 20.9%
Katie Nelson 11.2% 12.8% 13.8% 13.2% 14.5% 11.8% 9.5% 7.5% 5.7%
Olivia Sowa 28.1% 20.8% 15.3% 14.1% 10.7% 5.5% 3.8% 1.4% 0.3%
Marina Dreyfuss 7.8% 10.0% 10.8% 10.6% 11.0% 11.9% 12.9% 12.2% 12.8%
Marissa Tegeder 7.7% 10.6% 9.8% 11.2% 11.0% 10.7% 11.7% 13.3% 14.0%
Laura Smith 7.6% 8.5% 9.4% 9.1% 11.2% 12.0% 14.3% 13.9% 14.0%
Agija Elerte 14.5% 15.8% 13.8% 15.2% 13.4% 10.5% 7.9% 6.0% 2.9%
Annika VanderHorst 8.3% 6.5% 8.5% 9.0% 9.5% 12.9% 12.3% 15.9% 17.1%
Rowan Schanley 8.5% 9.2% 9.8% 10.2% 10.1% 13.2% 14.3% 12.4% 12.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.