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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.65+2.00vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+4.02vs Predicted
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3University of Miami0.14+3.15vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston0.48+1.21vs Predicted
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5Florida State University0.97-0.81vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida0.45-0.64vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin0.43-1.56vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University0.37-2.41vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University1.08-4.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.0North Carolina State University1.650.3%1st Place
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6.02U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.1%1st Place
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6.15University of Miami0.140.1%1st Place
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5.21College of Charleston0.480.1%1st Place
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4.19Florida State University0.970.2%1st Place
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5.36University of South Florida0.450.1%1st Place
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5.44University of Wisconsin0.430.1%1st Place
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5.59Christopher Newport University0.370.1%1st Place
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4.04Jacksonville University1.080.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Sowa | 25.9% | 22.1% | 18.2% | 13.4% | 9.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 16.3% | 18.8% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 17.1% | 22.5% |
| Rowan Schanley | 7.8% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 10.6% |
| Katie Nelson | 15.5% | 16.7% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 4.8% |
| Marina Dreyfuss | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 14.5% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 11.6% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 12.4% |
| Laura Smith | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 15.9% |
| Agija Elerte | 16.4% | 15.2% | 13.6% | 14.5% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.