Race 5A

cofc-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Katie Nelson 14.1% 14.4% 11.7% 13.4% 13.0% 11.1% 10.7% 7.2% 4.4%
Olivia Sowa 24.3% 22.3% 16.9% 13.0% 10.6% 5.8% 4.4% 1.8% 0.9%
Arantxa Argibay 5.4% 6.9% 7.5% 7.9% 9.1% 10.3% 13.6% 17.0% 22.3%
Laura Smith 7.0% 8.6% 10.5% 9.8% 11.5% 13.3% 11.5% 12.6% 15.2%
Rowan Schanley 8.7% 10.7% 10.9% 10.9% 11.7% 10.2% 10.7% 13.5% 12.7%
Marissa Tegeder 9.1% 8.1% 8.8% 9.3% 13.0% 11.9% 15.2% 13.2% 11.4%
Agija Elerte 14.5% 14.8% 15.5% 15.0% 12.2% 10.8% 8.3% 6.2% 2.7%
Annika VanderHorst 8.1% 6.8% 8.2% 10.1% 8.8% 12.0% 13.4% 15.0% 17.6%
Marina Dreyfuss 8.8% 7.4% 10.0% 10.6% 10.1% 14.6% 12.2% 13.5% 12.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.