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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston0.48+4.38vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.65+1.14vs Predicted
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3Florida State University0.97+1.33vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin0.43+1.37vs Predicted
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5University of Miami0.14+0.89vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-0.29vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.08-2.91vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida0.45-2.54vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University0.37-3.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.38College of Charleston0.480.1%1st Place
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3.14North Carolina State University1.650.2%1st Place
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4.33Florida State University0.970.1%1st Place
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5.37University of Wisconsin0.430.1%1st Place
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5.89University of Miami0.140.1%1st Place
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5.71U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.1%1st Place
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4.09Jacksonville University1.080.2%1st Place
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5.46University of South Florida0.450.1%1st Place
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5.63Christopher Newport University0.370.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rowan Schanley | 8.7% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 14.9% | 13.3% | 12.3% |
| Olivia Sowa | 24.0% | 23.4% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Katie Nelson | 13.5% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 4.0% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 14.2% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 5.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 15.4% | 20.3% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 15.9% | 16.0% |
| Agija Elerte | 15.3% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 16.6% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 3.2% |
| Marina Dreyfuss | 9.2% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 14.1% |
| Laura Smith | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 15.3% | 15.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.