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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston0.48+4.34vs Predicted
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2Florida State University0.97+2.49vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.65-0.01vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.08+0.01vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.45+0.29vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin0.43-0.58vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-1.18vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University0.37-2.43vs Predicted
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9University of Miami0.14-2.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.34College of Charleston0.480.1%1st Place
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4.49Florida State University0.970.1%1st Place
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2.99North Carolina State University1.650.3%1st Place
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4.01Jacksonville University1.080.2%1st Place
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5.29University of South Florida0.450.1%1st Place
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5.42University of Wisconsin0.430.1%1st Place
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5.82U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.1%1st Place
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5.57Christopher Newport University0.370.1%1st Place
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6.07University of Miami0.140.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rowan Schanley | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 11.9% |
| Katie Nelson | 10.4% | 13.8% | 15.2% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.3% |
| Olivia Sowa | 27.6% | 21.4% | 15.7% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Agija Elerte | 15.7% | 16.7% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 3.3% |
| Marina Dreyfuss | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 13.6% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 12.2% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 6.8% | 5.4% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 16.6% | 15.9% |
| Laura Smith | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 12.4% | 15.8% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 16.5% | 21.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.