Race 8A

cofc-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Marissa Tegeder 8.6% 8.0% 9.4% 9.3% 11.2% 12.9% 13.6% 13.8% 13.2%
Laura Smith 5.9% 7.2% 8.3% 9.6% 11.6% 11.7% 15.3% 14.4% 16.0%
Olivia Sowa 27.5% 20.9% 17.5% 11.9% 11.3% 4.7% 4.8% 1.1% 0.3%
Agija Elerte 14.8% 16.6% 15.5% 15.5% 10.7% 10.0% 7.7% 5.5% 3.7%
Annika VanderHorst 6.7% 9.9% 8.7% 11.1% 9.1% 11.5% 11.1% 14.1% 17.8%
Arantxa Argibay 5.8% 6.2% 8.0% 7.8% 9.5% 12.7% 13.3% 16.4% 20.3%
Marina Dreyfuss 8.0% 7.8% 10.1% 9.7% 11.5% 14.2% 13.0% 13.9% 11.8%
Rowan Schanley 9.2% 8.2% 9.6% 11.5% 12.1% 10.7% 12.3% 13.6% 12.8%
Katie Nelson 13.5% 15.2% 12.9% 13.6% 13.0% 11.6% 8.9% 7.2% 4.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.