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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston0.48+4.35vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.43+3.64vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.08+1.12vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.37+1.50vs Predicted
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5University of Miami0.14+0.90vs Predicted
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6Florida State University0.97-1.75vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.65-3.98vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-2.22vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida0.45-3.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.35College of Charleston0.480.1%1st Place
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5.64University of Wisconsin0.430.1%1st Place
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4.12Jacksonville University1.080.2%1st Place
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5.5Christopher Newport University0.370.1%1st Place
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5.9University of Miami0.140.1%1st Place
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4.25Florida State University0.970.1%1st Place
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3.02North Carolina State University1.650.3%1st Place
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5.78U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.1%1st Place
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5.43University of South Florida0.450.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rowan Schanley | 8.8% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 11.3% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 15.5% | 13.7% | 14.0% |
| Agija Elerte | 15.3% | 13.9% | 15.8% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 5.6% | 2.9% |
| Laura Smith | 6.7% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 14.2% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 15.5% | 21.4% |
| Katie Nelson | 14.6% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 3.7% |
| Olivia Sowa | 26.1% | 24.4% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 15.1% | 18.3% |
| Marina Dreyfuss | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 13.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.