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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University3.84+1.81vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.72+2.75vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.11+2.02vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.67-1.91vs Predicted
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6Bates College1.67+0.67vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.19-1.19vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University3.06-4.04vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.97-1.26vs Predicted
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10Amherst College-1.57+0.02vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.82-6.56vs Predicted
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12Wesleyan University-2.69-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.81Salve Regina University3.840.3%1st Place
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4.75Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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6.02Roger Williams University2.110.0%1st Place
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3.09Tufts University3.670.2%1st Place
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6.67Bates College1.670.0%1st Place
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5.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.190.0%1st Place
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3.96Salve Regina University3.060.2%1st Place
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7.74University of Rhode Island0.970.0%1st Place
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10.02Amherst College-1.570.0%1st Place
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4.44Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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10.7Wesleyan University-2.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Clancy | 25.7% | 25.6% | 17.4% | 15.2% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Hughes | 9.6% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 16.3% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hollerbach | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 11.4% | 14.0% | 19.1% | 19.6% | 11.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ben Weigel | 22.5% | 21.1% | 20.6% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Cason | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 21.9% | 22.8% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| William Simon | 4.2% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 15.5% | 18.9% | 16.5% | 8.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Eric Decesar | 15.4% | 13.2% | 15.5% | 15.9% | 16.5% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Douglas Young | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 18.4% | 43.9% | 7.0% | 0.4% |
| Marco Catipovic | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 67.2% | 23.5% |
| Sky Adams | 12.1% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 15.2% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 7.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Noah Langholz | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 21.3% | 76.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.