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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Patrick Clancy 25.7% 25.6% 17.4% 15.2% 8.6% 5.1% 1.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Peter Hughes 9.6% 10.6% 10.7% 13.8% 16.3% 14.0% 12.9% 8.1% 3.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Ian Hollerbach 4.8% 5.7% 7.1% 6.4% 11.4% 14.0% 19.1% 19.6% 11.2% 0.7% 0.0%
Ben Weigel 22.5% 21.1% 20.6% 13.7% 10.6% 7.4% 2.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Cason 3.8% 4.0% 3.9% 6.9% 7.9% 13.2% 13.1% 21.9% 22.8% 2.5% 0.0%
William Simon 4.2% 6.2% 8.4% 9.2% 11.4% 15.5% 18.9% 16.5% 8.8% 0.9% 0.0%
Eric Decesar 15.4% 13.2% 15.5% 15.9% 16.5% 9.4% 9.3% 3.5% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Douglas Young 1.7% 2.1% 2.2% 3.1% 4.0% 7.6% 9.6% 18.4% 43.9% 7.0% 0.4%
Marco Catipovic 0.2% 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 2.6% 4.4% 67.2% 23.5%
Sky Adams 12.1% 11.2% 13.8% 15.2% 13.0% 13.1% 12.1% 7.3% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Noah Langholz 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.3% 1.5% 21.3% 76.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.