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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.89+2.42vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.78+3.92vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.41+1.20vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.43+5.96vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.40+1.32vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.98+1.59vs Predicted
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7University of Washington1.83-1.08vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51+2.28vs Predicted
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9California Poly Maritime Academy1.92-3.31vs Predicted
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10California State University Channel Islands0.82-0.95vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University0.53-0.41vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-0.36+1.72vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University0.74-1.59vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University0.54-3.97vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz0.76-5.86vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-0.58-3.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.42Stanford University2.8923.2%1st Place
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5.92University of California at Santa Barbara1.788.9%1st Place
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4.2University of Hawaii2.4117.1%1st Place
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9.96University of California at Los Angeles0.432.9%1st Place
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6.32University of Southern California1.407.1%1st Place
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7.59University of California at Berkeley0.985.2%1st Place
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5.92University of Washington1.839.0%1st Place
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10.28Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.512.2%1st Place
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5.69California Poly Maritime Academy1.929.8%1st Place
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9.05California State University Channel Islands0.823.7%1st Place
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10.59San Diego State University0.531.5%1st Place
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13.72University of California at Irvine-0.360.7%1st Place
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11.41Arizona State University0.741.5%1st Place
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10.03Western Washington University0.543.0%1st Place
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9.14University of California at Santa Cruz0.763.5%1st Place
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12.77University of California at San Diego-0.580.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reade Decker | 23.2% | 19.2% | 17.3% | 13.4% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Erik Anderson | 17.1% | 15.0% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daren Sathasivam | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 3.8% |
| Luke Harris | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Will Cornell | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Benjamin Stone | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Max Case | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 4.7% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Maggard | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 6.2% |
| Nikita Swatek | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 16.2% | 43.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 15.0% | 10.2% |
| Nathan Gerber | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 3.9% |
| Andrew Ring | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 1.6% |
| Sean Lipps | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 20.3% | 24.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.