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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.65+2.01vs Predicted
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2Florida State University0.97+2.50vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.08+1.12vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida0.45+1.32vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+0.61vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.37-0.43vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin0.43-1.53vs Predicted
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8University of Miami0.14-1.95vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston0.48-3.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.01North Carolina State University1.650.3%1st Place
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4.5Florida State University0.970.1%1st Place
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4.12Jacksonville University1.080.2%1st Place
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5.32University of South Florida0.450.1%1st Place
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5.61U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.1%1st Place
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5.57Christopher Newport University0.370.1%1st Place
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5.47University of Wisconsin0.430.1%1st Place
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6.05University of Miami0.140.1%1st Place
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5.36College of Charleston0.480.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Sowa | 27.1% | 22.1% | 16.7% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Katie Nelson | 10.5% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 15.4% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 5.2% |
| Agija Elerte | 15.3% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 2.7% |
| Marina Dreyfuss | 8.4% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 14.0% | 12.6% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 16.9% |
| Laura Smith | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 14.7% | 14.1% | 13.8% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 11.8% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 23.7% |
| Rowan Schanley | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 13.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.