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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.65+2.00vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.08+2.24vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.43+2.50vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.37+1.48vs Predicted
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5Florida State University0.97-0.80vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston0.48-0.69vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-1.23vs Predicted
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8University of Miami0.14-1.94vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida0.45-3.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.0North Carolina State University1.650.3%1st Place
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4.24Jacksonville University1.080.1%1st Place
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5.5University of Wisconsin0.430.1%1st Place
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5.48Christopher Newport University0.370.1%1st Place
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4.2Florida State University0.970.2%1st Place
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5.31College of Charleston0.480.1%1st Place
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5.77U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.1%1st Place
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6.06University of Miami0.140.1%1st Place
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5.42University of South Florida0.450.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Sowa | 27.0% | 21.2% | 17.2% | 13.6% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Agija Elerte | 11.7% | 15.7% | 15.8% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 3.4% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 13.0% |
| Laura Smith | 7.3% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 14.7% |
| Katie Nelson | 15.7% | 16.2% | 14.2% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% |
| Rowan Schanley | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 11.2% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 16.4% | 15.7% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 23.6% |
| Marina Dreyfuss | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 13.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.