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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.37+4.62vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.45+3.61vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+2.81vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.65-1.06vs Predicted
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5Florida State University0.97-0.80vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston0.48-0.71vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin0.43-1.57vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.08-3.95vs Predicted
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9University of Miami0.14-2.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.62Christopher Newport University0.370.1%1st Place
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5.61University of South Florida0.450.1%1st Place
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5.81U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.1%1st Place
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2.94North Carolina State University1.650.3%1st Place
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4.2Florida State University0.970.2%1st Place
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5.29College of Charleston0.480.1%1st Place
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5.43University of Wisconsin0.430.1%1st Place
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4.05Jacksonville University1.080.2%1st Place
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6.04University of Miami0.140.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Smith | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 14.9% | 14.4% |
| Marina Dreyfuss | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 14.4% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 6.3% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 18.3% |
| Olivia Sowa | 26.3% | 23.8% | 18.2% | 12.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Katie Nelson | 15.5% | 15.9% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 4.6% |
| Rowan Schanley | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 11.5% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 12.9% |
| Agija Elerte | 16.2% | 15.5% | 14.3% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 3.6% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 18.1% | 19.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.