← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1North Carolina State University1.65+1.97vs Predicted
-
2Christopher Newport University0.37+3.82vs Predicted
-
3University of South Florida0.45+2.48vs Predicted
-
4University of Wisconsin0.43+1.32vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+0.64vs Predicted
-
6Florida State University0.97-1.74vs Predicted
-
7Jacksonville University1.08-2.92vs Predicted
-
8University of Miami0.14-1.95vs Predicted
-
9College of Charleston0.48-3.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.97North Carolina State University1.650.3%1st Place
-
5.82Christopher Newport University0.370.1%1st Place
-
5.48University of South Florida0.450.1%1st Place
-
5.32University of Wisconsin0.430.1%1st Place
-
5.64U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.1%1st Place
-
4.26Florida State University0.970.1%1st Place
-
4.08Jacksonville University1.080.1%1st Place
-
6.05University of Miami0.140.1%1st Place
-
5.37College of Charleston0.480.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Sowa | 27.8% | 21.3% | 16.9% | 13.1% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Laura Smith | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 16.3% | 15.4% | 15.3% |
| Marina Dreyfuss | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 15.1% | 13.9% | 12.6% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 7.9% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 15.3% | 11.4% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 14.2% | 17.7% |
| Katie Nelson | 13.6% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 15.9% | 14.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 3.9% |
| Agija Elerte | 14.7% | 16.3% | 13.1% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 3.2% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 7.4% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 23.8% |
| Rowan Schanley | 8.4% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 11.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.