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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida State University0.97+3.36vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.43+3.66vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.37+2.62vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+1.64vs Predicted
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5University of Miami0.14+0.89vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida0.45-0.62vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.65-4.02vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston0.48-2.62vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University1.08-4.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.36Florida State University0.970.1%1st Place
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5.66University of Wisconsin0.430.1%1st Place
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5.62Christopher Newport University0.370.1%1st Place
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5.64U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.1%1st Place
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5.89University of Miami0.140.1%1st Place
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5.38University of South Florida0.450.1%1st Place
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2.98North Carolina State University1.650.3%1st Place
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5.38College of Charleston0.480.1%1st Place
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4.09Jacksonville University1.080.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Nelson | 13.8% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 15.5% | 13.2% |
| Laura Smith | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 15.1% | 14.7% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 17.1% |
| Arantxa Argibay | 6.4% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 16.6% | 20.9% |
| Marina Dreyfuss | 8.2% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 11.8% |
| Olivia Sowa | 26.8% | 23.7% | 15.2% | 13.6% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Rowan Schanley | 9.7% | 7.0% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 13.4% |
| Agija Elerte | 15.9% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 14.4% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.