Race 15A

cofc-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Olivia Sowa 26.1% 23.6% 16.1% 13.1% 9.8% 5.7% 3.4% 1.8% 0.4%
Rowan Schanley 6.1% 7.3% 10.7% 10.0% 11.5% 13.2% 14.2% 13.9% 13.1%
Annika VanderHorst 5.8% 7.3% 8.2% 10.2% 9.4% 11.2% 13.8% 17.7% 16.4%
Marina Dreyfuss 8.0% 9.1% 11.0% 10.5% 12.8% 12.0% 12.3% 12.6% 11.7%
Katie Nelson 15.4% 16.9% 14.1% 10.1% 12.3% 9.5% 10.0% 7.1% 4.6%
Agija Elerte 16.1% 13.9% 15.3% 16.5% 11.7% 10.9% 7.0% 5.1% 3.5%
Laura Smith 7.3% 7.6% 9.0% 9.6% 11.6% 12.9% 14.0% 14.8% 13.2%
Arantxa Argibay 7.1% 6.0% 5.9% 9.2% 10.1% 11.6% 12.2% 14.5% 23.4%
Marissa Tegeder 8.1% 8.3% 9.7% 10.8% 10.8% 13.0% 13.1% 12.5% 13.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.