← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Jacksonville University1.51+2.06vs Predicted
-
2Eckerd College1.25+1.53vs Predicted
-
3Rollins College0.37+2.62vs Predicted
-
4University of South Florida0.55+1.12vs Predicted
-
5Jacksonville University0.85-0.67vs Predicted
-
6Embry-Riddle University-0.41+1.51vs Predicted
-
7Florida Institute of Technology-0.12-0.31vs Predicted
-
8University of South Florida-0.72+0.36vs Predicted
-
9Florida Institute of Technology-0.95+0.07vs Predicted
-
10University of Florida-1.42+0.07vs Predicted
-
11Florida State University-0.83-2.51vs Predicted
-
12University of Central Florida-0.52-3.93vs Predicted
-
13University of Florida-1.83-1.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.06Jacksonville University1.510.3%1st Place
-
3.53Eckerd College1.250.2%1st Place
-
5.62Rollins College0.370.1%1st Place
-
5.12University of South Florida0.550.1%1st Place
-
4.33Jacksonville University0.850.1%1st Place
-
7.51Embry-Riddle University-0.410.0%1st Place
-
6.69Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.1%1st Place
-
8.36University of South Florida-0.720.0%1st Place
-
9.07Florida Institute of Technology-0.950.0%1st Place
-
10.07University of Florida-1.420.0%1st Place
-
8.49Florida State University-0.830.0%1st Place
-
8.07University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
-
11.08University of Florida-1.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hank Seum | 27.0% | 20.2% | 18.0% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Smith | 20.5% | 18.6% | 17.0% | 13.9% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 6.8% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Luke Justin | 9.4% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 14.5% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 14.6% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 2.4% |
| Brandon DePalma | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| catherine brennan | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 5.3% |
| Annslee Maloy | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 15.8% | 13.6% | 11.6% |
| Ava Moring | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 19.5% | 24.4% |
| Madison Roy | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 7.2% |
| Julian Larsen | 2.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 8.6% | 5.1% |
| Peter Vinogradov | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 11.3% | 19.6% | 42.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.