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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rollins College0.37+5.08vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.25+1.80vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.51+0.28vs Predicted
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4Palm Beach Atlantic University0.64+1.38vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.55+0.75vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.85-1.08vs Predicted
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7Florida Institute of Technology-0.12+0.24vs Predicted
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8Embry-Riddle University-0.41+0.28vs Predicted
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9University of Central Florida-0.52-0.21vs Predicted
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10University of Florida-1.83+1.98vs Predicted
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11Florida State University-0.83-1.39vs Predicted
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12Florida Institute of Technology-0.95-2.13vs Predicted
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13University of Florida-1.42-2.07vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida-0.72-4.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.08Rollins College0.370.1%1st Place
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3.8Eckerd College1.250.2%1st Place
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3.28Jacksonville University1.510.3%1st Place
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5.38Palm Beach Atlantic University0.640.1%1st Place
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5.75University of South Florida0.550.1%1st Place
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4.92Jacksonville University0.850.1%1st Place
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7.24Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.1%1st Place
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8.28Embry-Riddle University-0.410.0%1st Place
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8.79University of Central Florida-0.520.0%1st Place
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11.98University of Florida-1.830.0%1st Place
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9.61Florida State University-0.830.0%1st Place
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9.87Florida Institute of Technology-0.950.0%1st Place
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10.93University of Florida-1.420.0%1st Place
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9.08University of South Florida-0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hilton Kamps | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Morgan Smith | 19.1% | 16.9% | 15.9% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Hank Seum | 25.2% | 20.4% | 15.2% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dawson Kohl | 9.0% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Luke Justin | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 12.0% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brandon DePalma | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 3.3% |
| Julian Larsen | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 4.1% |
| Peter Vinogradov | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 12.2% | 17.8% | 42.0% |
| Madison Roy | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 13.7% | 8.5% |
| Annslee Maloy | 1.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 11.9% |
| Ava Moring | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 14.7% | 18.9% | 23.1% |
| catherine brennan | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 5.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.