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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.62+1.82vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.51+0.92vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College0.48+2.09vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.42+1.29vs Predicted
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5Florida State University-0.03+1.52vs Predicted
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6University of Florida-0.88+2.76vs Predicted
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7University of Central Florida-0.18-0.45vs Predicted
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8Florida Institute of Technology-0.04-1.60vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida-0.32-1.76vs Predicted
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10Florida Institute of Technology-2.27+1.57vs Predicted
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11Rollins College-0.47-3.37vs Predicted
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12University of Florida-1.36-2.22vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-1.86-2.30vs Predicted
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14Palm Beach Atlantic University-4.68-0.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.82Jacksonville University1.620.3%1st Place
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2.92University of South Florida1.510.3%1st Place
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5.09Eckerd College0.480.1%1st Place
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5.29Jacksonville University0.420.1%1st Place
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6.52Florida State University-0.030.0%1st Place
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8.76University of Florida-0.880.0%1st Place
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6.55University of Central Florida-0.180.0%1st Place
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6.4Florida Institute of Technology-0.040.1%1st Place
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7.24University of South Florida-0.320.0%1st Place
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11.57Florida Institute of Technology-2.270.0%1st Place
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7.63Rollins College-0.470.0%1st Place
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9.78University of Florida-1.360.0%1st Place
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10.7Embry-Riddle University-1.860.0%1st Place
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13.74Palm Beach Atlantic University-4.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Schweda | 29.8% | 24.0% | 15.9% | 12.4% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 27.2% | 22.4% | 18.5% | 14.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Morin | 8.7% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Barney | 7.1% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Connell | 4.5% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Marco Distel | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 17.3% | 12.7% | 5.7% | 0.4% |
| Charlie Eckert | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Keegan Mackinnon | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Annette Breton | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 11.4% | 14.5% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Golino | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 10.6% | 20.6% | 42.4% | 7.0% |
| Zi Burns | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Dan Borras-Quintero | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 17.5% | 18.2% | 14.1% | 1.0% |
| Carter Speh | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 14.5% | 25.0% | 25.7% | 2.7% |
| Taryn Leverance | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 6.2% | 88.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.