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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.89+2.22vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.78+4.08vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles0.43+7.03vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.40+2.32vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.41-0.79vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51+4.29vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy1.92-1.25vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University0.74+3.47vs Predicted
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9University of Washington1.83-3.12vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley0.98-2.47vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands0.82-2.04vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University0.53-1.39vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University0.54-3.23vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine-0.36-0.21vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz0.76-5.88vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-0.58-3.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.22Stanford University2.8924.8%1st Place
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6.08University of California at Santa Barbara1.788.7%1st Place
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10.03University of California at Los Angeles0.432.9%1st Place
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6.32University of Southern California1.409.0%1st Place
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4.21University of Hawaii2.4114.9%1st Place
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10.29Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.512.5%1st Place
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5.75California Poly Maritime Academy1.929.0%1st Place
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11.47Arizona State University0.741.9%1st Place
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5.88University of Washington1.839.2%1st Place
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7.53University of California at Berkeley0.985.5%1st Place
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8.96California State University Channel Islands0.822.6%1st Place
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10.61San Diego State University0.531.8%1st Place
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9.77Western Washington University0.542.4%1st Place
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13.79University of California at Irvine-0.360.6%1st Place
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9.12University of California at Santa Cruz0.763.2%1st Place
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12.99University of California at San Diego-0.580.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reade Decker | 24.8% | 21.1% | 17.5% | 13.0% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 8.7% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Daren Sathasivam | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 3.6% |
| Luke Harris | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Erik Anderson | 14.9% | 16.2% | 16.1% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Case | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 4.5% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 10.3% |
| Benjamin Stone | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Will Cornell | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Sterling Maggard | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 9.9% | 5.8% |
| Nathan Gerber | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 2.9% |
| Nikita Swatek | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 18.3% | 42.7% |
| Andrew Ring | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Sean Lipps | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 21.6% | 25.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.