Race 3B

south-series-7-salve-regina

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Patrick Clancy 27.2% 24.6% 18.9% 13.6% 9.3% 4.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Peter Hughes 9.3% 10.8% 11.3% 15.6% 14.7% 14.7% 12.3% 8.5% 2.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Sky Adams 9.3% 10.5% 11.6% 15.0% 17.0% 13.6% 13.1% 6.9% 2.8% 0.1% 0.1%
Ian Hollerbach 4.3% 5.1% 6.2% 8.3% 10.3% 15.7% 19.2% 17.4% 12.5% 1.0% 0.0%
Ben Weigel 24.8% 21.1% 20.0% 13.8% 9.9% 5.5% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Cason 2.7% 3.9% 5.0% 5.8% 8.4% 12.1% 13.8% 24.4% 21.3% 2.5% 0.1%
Eric Decesar 14.9% 15.3% 16.3% 15.6% 13.6% 11.7% 7.5% 3.7% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Douglas Young 1.7% 2.4% 2.6% 2.3% 4.2% 7.2% 12.4% 17.7% 41.2% 8.1% 0.2%
William Simon 5.5% 6.1% 7.9% 9.4% 12.2% 14.3% 16.3% 17.7% 10.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Marco Catipovic 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.4% 0.3% 0.4% 0.7% 1.7% 6.5% 65.7% 23.9%
Noah Langholz 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 1.2% 22.1% 75.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.