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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.62+1.88vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.51+0.99vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.42+2.48vs Predicted
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4Florida State University-0.03+2.71vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College0.48+0.40vs Predicted
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6Florida Institute of Technology-0.04+0.83vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida-0.32+0.27vs Predicted
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8University of Florida-0.88+0.99vs Predicted
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9University of Florida-1.36+1.42vs Predicted
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10Rollins College-0.47-1.93vs Predicted
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11University of Central Florida-0.18-3.81vs Predicted
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12Florida Institute of Technology-2.27+0.25vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-1.86-1.57vs Predicted
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14Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.94-4.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.88Jacksonville University1.620.3%1st Place
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2.99University of South Florida1.510.3%1st Place
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5.48Jacksonville University0.420.1%1st Place
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6.71Florida State University-0.030.0%1st Place
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5.4Eckerd College0.480.1%1st Place
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6.83Florida Institute of Technology-0.040.1%1st Place
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7.27University of South Florida-0.320.0%1st Place
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8.99University of Florida-0.880.0%1st Place
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10.42University of Florida-1.360.0%1st Place
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8.07Rollins College-0.470.0%1st Place
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7.19University of Central Florida-0.180.0%1st Place
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12.25Florida Institute of Technology-2.270.0%1st Place
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11.43Embry-Riddle University-1.860.0%1st Place
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9.1Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Schweda | 30.0% | 23.1% | 15.4% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 26.0% | 22.7% | 19.7% | 12.4% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Barney | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Lauren Connell | 3.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Carter Morin | 7.6% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Keegan Mackinnon | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Annette Breton | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Marco Distel | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 5.3% |
| Dan Borras-Quintero | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 16.5% | 19.1% | 12.4% |
| Zi Burns | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| Charlie Eckert | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Nicholas Golino | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 11.1% | 19.8% | 45.8% |
| Carter Speh | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 23.8% | 27.9% |
| Nathan Hjort | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 11.0% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.