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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Patrick Barney 7.4% 10.3% 12.6% 10.9% 13.1% 11.3% 10.3% 9.5% 7.2% 4.5% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2%
Keegan Mackinnon 4.9% 6.3% 7.9% 7.9% 9.8% 12.5% 12.0% 10.5% 10.8% 7.5% 7.0% 2.5% 0.4%
Cole Schweda 28.2% 24.1% 18.9% 11.7% 7.1% 6.0% 2.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Carter Morin 9.8% 8.1% 13.4% 13.8% 11.9% 11.8% 11.2% 7.9% 6.4% 3.6% 1.2% 0.7% 0.2%
Zachariah Schemel 27.0% 22.4% 17.1% 13.8% 8.2% 6.2% 3.2% 1.0% 0.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Lauren Connell 5.7% 7.0% 6.4% 9.5% 11.6% 10.7% 12.3% 11.0% 9.5% 7.3% 5.6% 3.0% 0.4%
Annette Breton 5.3% 4.9% 5.5% 8.2% 8.7% 8.5% 10.4% 12.1% 10.8% 10.6% 9.4% 4.6% 1.0%
Marco Distel 1.8% 4.3% 3.1% 5.2% 3.8% 6.5% 7.2% 10.2% 11.7% 15.0% 14.0% 12.7% 4.5%
Zi Burns 3.8% 4.4% 4.6% 4.7% 8.6% 8.4% 9.4% 11.7% 12.1% 12.7% 11.3% 5.8% 2.5%
Nicholas Golino 0.6% 0.6% 0.8% 1.3% 1.7% 2.2% 2.4% 2.3% 3.7% 6.0% 11.0% 19.6% 47.8%
Dan Borras-Quintero 1.0% 1.7% 2.1% 3.0% 4.3% 4.3% 5.9% 7.2% 7.9% 15.4% 16.7% 19.6% 10.9%
Charlie Eckert 4.0% 5.1% 6.3% 8.4% 9.8% 9.5% 9.8% 11.3% 13.4% 9.5% 7.2% 4.0% 1.7%
Carter Speh 0.5% 0.8% 1.3% 1.6% 1.4% 2.1% 3.8% 3.9% 5.6% 7.4% 14.6% 26.6% 30.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.