Race 2A

great-herring-pond-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Olin Guck 27.4% 24.8% 15.9% 14.4% 8.3% 5.1% 2.2% 1.7% 0.1% 0.1%
Thomas Mazzeo 31.5% 24.1% 20.6% 12.2% 6.5% 2.8% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Richard Kalich 9.8% 9.9% 13.8% 15.6% 15.0% 14.4% 11.4% 6.2% 3.3% 0.6%
Sam Harris 9.8% 14.3% 14.8% 17.5% 15.8% 12.2% 8.0% 5.1% 2.0% 0.5%
Ryan Treat 5.1% 6.2% 7.0% 7.7% 11.1% 12.0% 15.4% 16.0% 12.0% 7.5%
Zach Earnshaw 7.7% 7.4% 11.0% 11.4% 13.7% 14.1% 13.7% 10.2% 8.2% 2.6%
Tyler Winowiecki 2.8% 4.2% 5.2% 7.0% 9.7% 14.5% 14.5% 16.0% 15.8% 10.3%
Kai Latham 2.8% 4.4% 5.3% 5.9% 9.7% 10.7% 13.4% 17.1% 17.7% 13.0%
Thomas Broadus 1.5% 1.3% 2.6% 3.6% 3.2% 6.2% 8.1% 12.1% 19.3% 42.1%
Oliver Browne 1.6% 3.4% 3.8% 4.7% 7.0% 8.0% 11.3% 15.3% 21.6% 23.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.