← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island1.15+1.61vs Predicted
-
2University of New Hampshire0.35+1.83vs Predicted
-
3Salve Regina University-0.82+2.99vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University1.34-1.67vs Predicted
-
5University of Connecticut-0.62+0.49vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.21-1.26vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.29-0.19vs Predicted
-
8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.95-1.91vs Predicted
-
9Wesleyan University-1.73-1.52vs Predicted
-
10Boston University-3.76-0.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.61University of Rhode Island1.150.3%1st Place
-
3.83University of New Hampshire0.350.1%1st Place
-
5.99Salve Regina University-0.820.0%1st Place
-
2.33Tufts University1.340.3%1st Place
-
5.49University of Connecticut-0.620.1%1st Place
-
4.74Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.210.1%1st Place
-
6.81Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.290.0%1st Place
-
6.09University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.950.0%1st Place
-
7.48Wesleyan University-1.730.0%1st Place
-
9.62Boston University-3.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olin Guck | 28.4% | 29.3% | 17.4% | 11.8% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Harris | 11.9% | 14.4% | 20.3% | 18.7% | 14.8% | 10.8% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 4.4% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 13.3% | 15.3% | 18.3% | 15.8% | 10.6% | 2.2% |
| Thomas Mazzeo | 34.2% | 27.6% | 20.2% | 10.7% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Treat | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 16.4% | 15.2% | 13.7% | 6.8% | 1.0% |
| Zach Earnshaw | 7.8% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 15.7% | 17.7% | 14.6% | 11.5% | 7.5% | 3.3% | 0.2% |
| Oliver Browne | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 16.1% | 22.0% | 21.1% | 3.7% |
| Kai Latham | 3.7% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 12.9% | 15.1% | 16.2% | 17.4% | 13.4% | 1.3% |
| Thomas Broadus | 1.6% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 17.5% | 36.8% | 7.5% |
| Ada Ucar | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 7.2% | 84.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.