Race 4A

great-herring-pond-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Sam Harris 14.2% 15.8% 18.9% 16.9% 14.4% 9.8% 6.6% 2.6% 0.8% 0.0%
Thomas Mazzeo 35.2% 25.7% 19.7% 11.1% 5.5% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Olin Guck 26.2% 28.5% 20.4% 14.2% 7.0% 2.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Thomas Broadus 1.2% 2.3% 2.5% 3.5% 5.9% 9.7% 12.0% 17.6% 37.4% 7.9%
Zach Earnshaw 7.7% 9.9% 12.3% 14.7% 17.2% 16.1% 11.3% 6.9% 3.5% 0.4%
Ryan Treat 6.1% 6.0% 7.1% 11.8% 15.2% 15.7% 17.6% 12.5% 7.4% 0.6%
Kai Latham 2.9% 3.6% 6.3% 10.9% 10.2% 14.9% 18.9% 17.6% 13.0% 1.7%
Tyler Winowiecki 3.4% 5.5% 8.4% 9.9% 13.5% 14.5% 15.7% 18.3% 9.8% 1.0%
Oliver Browne 2.9% 2.5% 4.2% 6.3% 10.7% 12.7% 14.8% 20.5% 21.2% 4.2%
Ada Ucar 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.7% 0.4% 1.6% 1.8% 3.8% 6.9% 84.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.