Race 5A

great-herring-pond-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Zach Earnshaw 7.4% 8.6% 10.7% 11.5% 12.9% 14.2% 15.2% 9.7% 6.9% 2.9%
Ryan Treat 5.5% 3.6% 6.1% 9.4% 11.5% 12.8% 15.0% 15.1% 13.7% 7.3%
Sam Harris 11.1% 12.9% 13.8% 17.6% 14.7% 13.4% 8.7% 5.1% 2.4% 0.3%
Olin Guck 25.8% 24.9% 18.6% 14.2% 9.5% 3.8% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Thomas Mazzeo 31.0% 27.3% 19.7% 10.3% 6.1% 2.7% 1.9% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Richard Kalich 10.2% 11.2% 13.5% 14.5% 15.8% 12.9% 10.9% 7.5% 2.5% 1.0%
Kai Latham 2.5% 2.7% 5.6% 6.1% 8.6% 12.5% 14.6% 18.6% 16.0% 12.8%
Oliver Browne 1.6% 3.4% 3.6% 5.0% 6.8% 10.4% 9.4% 13.7% 23.5% 22.6%
Tyler Winowiecki 3.6% 4.1% 5.8% 8.3% 9.1% 10.8% 13.8% 16.7% 17.2% 10.6%
Thomas Broadus 1.3% 1.3% 2.6% 3.1% 5.0% 6.5% 8.5% 11.7% 17.5% 42.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.