Race 6A

great-herring-pond-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Thomas Mazzeo 33.7% 24.4% 17.1% 11.8% 6.9% 2.9% 2.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Olin Guck 25.9% 23.4% 18.0% 16.7% 8.6% 4.2% 2.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Sam Harris 11.6% 10.8% 16.4% 15.8% 16.0% 12.7% 8.9% 5.3% 2.0% 0.5%
Richard Kalich 8.1% 12.5% 13.7% 15.6% 14.0% 14.4% 10.5% 6.7% 3.5% 1.0%
Tyler Winowiecki 4.2% 5.9% 5.6% 6.2% 9.2% 10.6% 14.1% 18.2% 14.6% 11.4%
Ryan Treat 5.3% 6.2% 6.5% 8.0% 11.6% 14.2% 13.9% 14.7% 12.8% 6.8%
Zach Earnshaw 5.4% 8.0% 9.6% 13.4% 14.7% 14.6% 13.5% 10.9% 7.4% 2.5%
Thomas Broadus 1.4% 1.7% 3.0% 2.7% 3.8% 7.2% 9.4% 11.4% 17.3% 42.1%
Oliver Browne 2.1% 2.7% 3.9% 4.0% 6.1% 10.0% 11.0% 14.7% 22.9% 22.6%
Kai Latham 2.3% 4.4% 6.2% 5.8% 9.1% 9.2% 13.6% 17.0% 19.3% 13.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.