Race 7A

great-herring-pond-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Thomas Mazzeo 33.6% 24.6% 17.3% 11.6% 6.8% 3.4% 2.0% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Olin Guck 25.9% 23.2% 18.3% 16.0% 8.4% 4.3% 2.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1%
Ryan Treat 3.8% 5.8% 6.5% 8.3% 9.8% 13.4% 15.6% 16.0% 13.6% 7.2%
Zach Earnshaw 4.9% 8.5% 10.0% 13.2% 14.2% 16.4% 13.3% 9.1% 8.1% 2.3%
Sam Harris 11.9% 13.2% 15.1% 17.0% 16.1% 10.8% 8.7% 4.5% 2.1% 0.6%
Tyler Winowiecki 4.3% 4.5% 6.1% 7.4% 8.9% 12.1% 12.3% 19.9% 14.0% 10.5%
Thomas Broadus 1.0% 1.5% 2.2% 2.5% 4.3% 5.3% 9.5% 12.9% 19.4% 41.4%
Richard Kalich 9.6% 12.5% 14.1% 13.6% 16.3% 13.7% 10.3% 5.1% 3.7% 1.1%
Kai Latham 2.8% 3.3% 6.8% 5.8% 8.9% 12.1% 13.1% 15.6% 19.0% 12.6%
Oliver Browne 2.2% 2.9% 3.6% 4.6% 6.3% 8.5% 12.6% 15.5% 19.6% 24.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.