Race 8A

great-herring-pond-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Olin Guck 26.9% 23.9% 18.0% 12.9% 8.8% 5.2% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Sam Harris 10.6% 13.2% 16.2% 16.0% 14.4% 12.4% 8.4% 6.5% 1.6% 0.7%
Zach Earnshaw 6.8% 7.3% 10.0% 9.9% 14.4% 15.9% 15.0% 11.3% 6.8% 2.6%
Thomas Mazzeo 30.5% 27.1% 18.3% 12.9% 6.3% 3.1% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Treat 5.1% 5.1% 7.6% 9.2% 9.7% 12.7% 15.8% 14.6% 13.4% 6.8%
Tyler Winowiecki 4.9% 4.2% 5.6% 6.9% 9.8% 12.5% 14.9% 14.7% 15.6% 10.9%
Richard Kalich 8.8% 11.0% 13.2% 16.3% 17.7% 12.9% 9.5% 6.7% 2.8% 1.1%
Thomas Broadus 1.1% 2.0% 2.7% 3.8% 4.6% 5.2% 9.1% 12.4% 17.2% 41.9%
Kai Latham 3.2% 3.5% 5.1% 7.1% 8.0% 11.2% 13.8% 17.3% 18.1% 12.7%
Oliver Browne 2.1% 2.7% 3.3% 5.0% 6.3% 8.9% 9.3% 14.9% 24.2% 23.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.