Race 4B

south-series-7-salve-regina

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Patrick Clancy 27.2% 23.1% 18.1% 15.1% 9.5% 4.7% 1.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Eric Decesar 13.5% 14.7% 13.0% 17.2% 14.8% 15.1% 7.5% 3.0% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Ian Hollerbach 5.0% 5.4% 7.0% 8.0% 10.4% 13.9% 17.2% 19.7% 11.7% 1.6% 0.1%
Sky Adams 8.6% 10.4% 13.0% 14.0% 16.7% 14.2% 13.1% 7.4% 2.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Douglas Young 1.9% 2.6% 2.6% 2.4% 4.4% 6.0% 10.5% 17.8% 44.2% 7.2% 0.4%
Ben Weigel 23.2% 23.9% 18.5% 13.0% 9.9% 6.4% 3.0% 1.5% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
William Simon 6.3% 7.4% 7.9% 9.5% 11.8% 15.8% 16.6% 14.9% 9.3% 0.5% 0.0%
Peter Hughes 10.4% 8.3% 16.3% 13.5% 14.2% 13.5% 13.8% 5.9% 3.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Christopher Cason 3.5% 4.0% 3.5% 6.9% 8.0% 9.8% 15.6% 26.4% 19.6% 2.5% 0.2%
Marco Catipovic 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 0.7% 2.6% 5.8% 65.7% 24.0%
Noah Langholz 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.5% 1.2% 22.1% 75.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.