Race 9A

great-herring-pond-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Olin Guck 27.1% 25.6% 16.0% 15.0% 7.0% 5.2% 2.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
Thomas Mazzeo 31.8% 23.6% 20.9% 12.0% 6.8% 2.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Zach Earnshaw 7.6% 6.7% 10.5% 9.3% 12.4% 17.0% 16.1% 10.4% 7.7% 2.3%
Sam Harris 9.7% 14.0% 16.0% 16.5% 16.0% 11.4% 8.7% 4.6% 2.7% 0.4%
Tyler Winowiecki 4.4% 4.7% 5.4% 7.0% 9.5% 10.9% 15.8% 16.2% 14.8% 11.3%
Richard Kalich 9.9% 10.9% 13.3% 15.8% 15.9% 12.4% 9.8% 7.9% 2.9% 1.2%
Ryan Treat 3.4% 5.8% 6.3% 9.3% 11.5% 14.2% 15.2% 15.6% 11.8% 6.9%
Kai Latham 2.9% 4.0% 5.3% 7.5% 9.1% 10.5% 12.1% 17.0% 18.8% 12.8%
Oliver Browne 2.1% 2.7% 4.2% 4.5% 6.3% 9.2% 11.1% 14.9% 22.5% 22.5%
Thomas Broadus 1.1% 2.0% 2.1% 3.1% 5.5% 6.4% 7.2% 11.6% 18.5% 42.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.