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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.34+1.53vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.15+0.84vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.21+2.40vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.16+0.60vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.95+1.81vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire0.35-1.78vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University-0.82-0.39vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.29-0.50vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut-0.62-2.77vs Predicted
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10Wesleyan University-1.73-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.53Tufts University1.340.3%1st Place
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2.84University of Rhode Island1.150.3%1st Place
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5.4Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.210.1%1st Place
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4.6Boston University0.160.1%1st Place
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6.81University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.950.0%1st Place
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4.22University of New Hampshire0.350.1%1st Place
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6.61Salve Regina University-0.820.0%1st Place
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7.5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.290.0%1st Place
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6.23University of Connecticut-0.620.0%1st Place
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8.25Wesleyan University-1.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Mazzeo | 33.4% | 25.5% | 17.4% | 11.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olin Guck | 25.9% | 22.9% | 19.4% | 16.0% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zach Earnshaw | 7.6% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 14.3% | 16.0% | 14.6% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 2.6% |
| Richard Kalich | 8.0% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 15.2% | 15.5% | 14.8% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Kai Latham | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 17.9% | 17.1% | 13.8% |
| Sam Harris | 11.1% | 13.9% | 15.3% | 16.9% | 15.2% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 16.5% | 16.0% | 14.9% | 9.9% |
| Oliver Browne | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 14.3% | 22.9% | 22.9% |
| Ryan Treat | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 15.6% | 15.6% | 13.1% | 7.2% |
| Thomas Broadus | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 18.9% | 42.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.