Race 1B

great-herring-pond-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Harry Kaya Prager 15.9% 17.7% 18.2% 13.6% 13.2% 9.9% 6.2% 3.9% 1.0% 0.4%
Max Sigel 41.1% 28.2% 16.6% 7.6% 3.5% 2.4% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
John Cabell 12.9% 16.1% 15.0% 17.3% 16.0% 10.9% 6.8% 3.9% 1.0% 0.1%
Sean Morrison 5.2% 7.2% 8.9% 13.4% 13.8% 14.0% 15.1% 11.8% 7.3% 3.3%
James Sullivan 11.3% 13.1% 16.3% 16.8% 15.1% 11.6% 8.3% 4.8% 1.9% 0.8%
Marshall Rodes 5.5% 6.6% 7.8% 9.5% 13.5% 13.7% 15.3% 13.3% 10.0% 4.8%
cole capizzo 2.3% 3.3% 4.9% 6.8% 8.3% 11.7% 13.6% 18.1% 17.6% 13.4%
Joseph Gedraitis 1.5% 2.3% 3.8% 4.6% 5.0% 8.4% 9.9% 14.5% 21.0% 29.0%
Sara Beth Bouchard 1.9% 1.6% 3.8% 4.2% 3.5% 8.4% 10.9% 12.5% 21.4% 31.8%
Christopher Bullock 2.4% 3.9% 4.7% 6.2% 8.1% 9.0% 13.3% 17.2% 18.8% 16.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.