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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.75+1.14vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.65+1.78vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire0.39+1.32vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39+1.89vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.60-1.18vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University-0.20-0.59vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.39+0.87vs Predicted
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8Wesleyan University-1.42-0.18vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut-0.99-1.93vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.90-3.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.14University of Rhode Island1.750.4%1st Place
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3.78Tufts University0.650.1%1st Place
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4.32University of New Hampshire0.390.1%1st Place
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5.89University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.0%1st Place
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3.82Boston University0.600.1%1st Place
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5.41Salve Regina University-0.200.1%1st Place
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7.87Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.390.0%1st Place
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7.82Wesleyan University-1.420.0%1st Place
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7.07University of Connecticut-0.990.0%1st Place
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6.88Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Sigel | 43.8% | 27.0% | 13.3% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harry Kaya Prager | 13.5% | 16.9% | 19.4% | 16.0% | 14.2% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| James Sullivan | 11.3% | 11.5% | 15.4% | 15.6% | 15.4% | 13.4% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Marshall Rodes | 3.9% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 16.0% | 15.2% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 4.8% |
| John Cabell | 13.5% | 16.9% | 17.7% | 16.5% | 15.7% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Sean Morrison | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 14.7% | 12.0% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 7.3% | 2.9% |
| Joseph Gedraitis | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 11.7% | 14.9% | 21.4% | 29.1% |
| Sara Beth Bouchard | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 20.2% | 31.5% |
| Christopher Bullock | 2.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 17.4% | 19.1% | 16.2% |
| cole capizzo | 2.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 15.2% | 15.5% | 17.5% | 14.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.