Race 3B

great-herring-pond-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
James Sullivan 11.0% 15.4% 15.1% 16.6% 12.9% 11.8% 8.9% 4.6% 2.8% 0.9%
Harry Kaya Prager 13.9% 16.5% 18.5% 16.8% 13.6% 10.5% 4.7% 4.6% 0.8% 0.1%
John Cabell 13.0% 14.9% 16.7% 17.2% 15.9% 10.0% 8.1% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2%
Max Sigel 41.9% 28.0% 16.6% 8.1% 3.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Sean Morrison 6.5% 7.4% 9.2% 11.3% 13.8% 14.5% 15.8% 11.3% 7.3% 2.9%
Marshall Rodes 6.0% 5.9% 8.0% 9.8% 13.1% 15.4% 14.5% 12.1% 9.3% 5.9%
Sara Beth Bouchard 1.3% 2.0% 2.1% 3.7% 5.1% 8.0% 10.3% 16.1% 21.1% 30.3%
Joseph Gedraitis 1.6% 2.4% 3.3% 4.1% 5.6% 8.9% 10.6% 12.1% 21.9% 29.5%
Christopher Bullock 2.3% 3.2% 5.1% 5.7% 8.4% 10.8% 11.9% 17.9% 19.0% 15.7%
cole capizzo 2.5% 4.3% 5.4% 6.7% 8.1% 8.8% 14.7% 18.0% 17.0% 14.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.