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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.75+1.14vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.65+1.82vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire0.39+1.29vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.60-0.12vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39+0.82vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University-0.20-0.58vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-0.99+0.12vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.90-1.14vs Predicted
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9Wesleyan University-1.42-1.14vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.39-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.14University of Rhode Island1.750.4%1st Place
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3.82Tufts University0.650.1%1st Place
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4.29University of New Hampshire0.390.1%1st Place
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3.88Boston University0.600.1%1st Place
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5.82University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.1%1st Place
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5.42Salve Regina University-0.200.1%1st Place
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7.12University of Connecticut-0.990.0%1st Place
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6.86Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.900.0%1st Place
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7.86Wesleyan University-1.420.0%1st Place
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7.79Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Sigel | 43.7% | 26.3% | 14.1% | 9.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Harry Kaya Prager | 13.1% | 18.0% | 17.8% | 16.2% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| James Sullivan | 11.3% | 12.1% | 15.2% | 16.2% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| John Cabell | 11.7% | 17.5% | 17.3% | 17.5% | 14.8% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Marshall Rodes | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 15.7% | 13.8% | 9.6% | 5.4% |
| Sean Morrison | 6.7% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 2.9% |
| Christopher Bullock | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 15.0% | 17.3% | 17.3% | 16.8% |
| cole capizzo | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 17.6% | 18.1% | 12.9% |
| Sara Beth Bouchard | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 22.3% | 30.1% |
| Joseph Gedraitis | 1.3% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 15.3% | 18.6% | 31.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.