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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.33+1.57vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.65+1.69vs Predicted
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3Boston University0.60+0.83vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University-0.20+1.44vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.39-0.87vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39-0.26vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-0.99+0.10vs Predicted
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8Wesleyan University-1.42-0.19vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.39-1.18vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.90-3.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.57University of Rhode Island1.330.3%1st Place
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3.69Tufts University0.650.2%1st Place
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3.83Boston University0.600.2%1st Place
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5.44Salve Regina University-0.200.1%1st Place
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4.13University of New Hampshire0.390.1%1st Place
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5.74University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.1%1st Place
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7.1University of Connecticut-0.990.0%1st Place
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7.81Wesleyan University-1.420.0%1st Place
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7.82Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.390.0%1st Place
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6.87Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Strobridge | 34.3% | 24.1% | 17.6% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Harry Kaya Prager | 15.8% | 18.6% | 17.5% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| John Cabell | 15.2% | 15.4% | 16.5% | 16.0% | 15.5% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Sean Morrison | 5.5% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 7.0% | 3.4% |
| James Sullivan | 13.1% | 13.9% | 15.2% | 16.0% | 14.5% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Marshall Rodes | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 10.0% | 4.8% |
| Christopher Bullock | 2.6% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 17.2% | 19.3% | 15.4% |
| Sara Beth Bouchard | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 15.2% | 19.6% | 31.2% |
| Joseph Gedraitis | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 20.8% | 31.0% |
| cole capizzo | 2.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 17.6% | 19.0% | 13.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.