← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island1.33+1.55vs Predicted
-
2Boston University0.60+1.81vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University0.65+0.73vs Predicted
-
4Salve Regina University-0.20+1.44vs Predicted
-
5University of New Hampshire0.39-0.85vs Predicted
-
6University of Connecticut-0.99+0.97vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.39+0.85vs Predicted
-
8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39-2.24vs Predicted
-
9Wesleyan University-1.42-1.13vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.90-3.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.55University of Rhode Island1.330.3%1st Place
-
3.81Boston University0.600.1%1st Place
-
3.73Tufts University0.650.2%1st Place
-
5.44Salve Regina University-0.200.1%1st Place
-
4.15University of New Hampshire0.390.1%1st Place
-
6.97University of Connecticut-0.990.0%1st Place
-
7.85Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.390.0%1st Place
-
5.76University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.1%1st Place
-
7.87Wesleyan University-1.420.0%1st Place
-
6.86Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Strobridge | 34.8% | 23.8% | 17.5% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| John Cabell | 14.8% | 17.2% | 17.4% | 14.2% | 15.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Harry Kaya Prager | 15.9% | 16.7% | 16.5% | 16.9% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Sean Morrison | 5.7% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 8.1% | 2.7% |
| James Sullivan | 13.2% | 13.4% | 16.0% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Christopher Bullock | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 13.7% | 17.1% | 17.8% | 16.1% |
| Joseph Gedraitis | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 21.2% | 29.5% |
| Marshall Rodes | 5.2% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 9.3% | 5.0% |
| Sara Beth Bouchard | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 21.2% | 31.3% |
| cole capizzo | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 16.7% | 17.6% | 14.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.