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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.33+1.58vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire0.39+2.21vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.65+0.71vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.60-0.21vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39+0.75vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University-0.20-0.66vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.39+0.88vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut-0.99-1.01vs Predicted
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9Wesleyan University-1.42-1.14vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.90-3.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.58University of Rhode Island1.330.3%1st Place
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4.21University of New Hampshire0.390.1%1st Place
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3.71Tufts University0.650.2%1st Place
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3.79Boston University0.600.1%1st Place
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5.75University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.1%1st Place
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5.34Salve Regina University-0.200.1%1st Place
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7.88Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.390.0%1st Place
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6.99University of Connecticut-0.990.0%1st Place
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7.86Wesleyan University-1.420.0%1st Place
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6.88Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Strobridge | 34.1% | 24.9% | 15.6% | 11.0% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| James Sullivan | 12.5% | 11.4% | 18.3% | 15.8% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| Harry Kaya Prager | 16.0% | 17.1% | 16.1% | 16.5% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| John Cabell | 14.2% | 17.7% | 16.1% | 17.2% | 14.3% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Marshall Rodes | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 15.8% | 13.8% | 9.4% | 4.9% |
| Sean Morrison | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 7.2% | 3.0% |
| Joseph Gedraitis | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 14.7% | 20.4% | 30.8% |
| Christopher Bullock | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 18.8% | 18.9% | 14.4% |
| Sara Beth Bouchard | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 21.2% | 31.7% |
| cole capizzo | 2.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 14.8% | 16.5% | 17.4% | 14.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.