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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.07+4.70vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University3.06+1.73vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University3.84-0.42vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.72+0.52vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University0.97+2.50vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.67-3.19vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.19-1.78vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.97-1.53vs Predicted
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10Amherst College-0.61-0.52vs Predicted
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11Bates College1.67-4.79vs Predicted
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12Wesleyan University-2.69-1.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.7Brown University2.070.0%1st Place
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3.73Salve Regina University3.060.1%1st Place
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2.58Salve Regina University3.840.3%1st Place
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4.52Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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7.5Roger Williams University0.970.0%1st Place
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2.81Tufts University3.670.3%1st Place
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5.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.190.1%1st Place
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7.47University of Rhode Island0.970.0%1st Place
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9.48Amherst College-0.610.0%1st Place
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6.21Bates College1.670.0%1st Place
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10.79Wesleyan University-2.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmett Weeks | 3.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 14.6% | 17.0% | 17.9% | 14.9% | 6.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Eric Decesar | 14.4% | 16.3% | 16.4% | 18.8% | 15.1% | 10.2% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Clancy | 30.3% | 24.6% | 20.5% | 12.5% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Hughes | 9.3% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 17.1% | 16.2% | 15.5% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Richard Jordan | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 12.3% | 20.9% | 29.2% | 12.3% | 0.3% |
| Ben Weigel | 25.9% | 24.9% | 20.2% | 12.9% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Simon | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 16.5% | 14.7% | 10.4% | 5.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Douglas Young | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 14.8% | 19.5% | 28.5% | 11.6% | 0.4% |
| Jesse Lang | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 6.2% | 12.2% | 61.5% | 11.9% |
| Christopher Cason | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 14.9% | 19.8% | 17.4% | 12.2% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Noah Langholz | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 2.2% | 8.9% | 87.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.