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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.83+5.04vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.41+2.09vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.89+0.26vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.40+2.15vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.78+0.89vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.43+4.03vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University0.74+4.37vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.54+1.95vs Predicted
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9California Poly Maritime Academy1.92-3.38vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-0.08vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley0.98-3.40vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.51-1.93vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands0.82-4.08vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine-0.36-0.22vs Predicted
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15San Diego State University0.53-4.40vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-0.58-3.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.04University of Washington1.838.0%1st Place
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4.09University of Hawaii2.4117.2%1st Place
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3.26Stanford University2.8925.2%1st Place
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6.15University of Southern California1.408.3%1st Place
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5.89University of California at Santa Barbara1.789.7%1st Place
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10.03University of California at Los Angeles0.432.6%1st Place
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11.37Arizona State University0.741.5%1st Place
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9.95Western Washington University0.542.9%1st Place
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5.62California Poly Maritime Academy1.928.5%1st Place
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9.92University of California at Santa Cruz0.862.4%1st Place
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7.6University of California at Berkeley0.985.1%1st Place
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10.07Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.512.4%1st Place
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8.92California State University Channel Islands0.822.9%1st Place
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13.78University of California at Irvine-0.360.7%1st Place
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10.6San Diego State University0.532.1%1st Place
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12.71University of California at San Diego-0.580.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Stone | 8.0% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Erik Anderson | 17.2% | 16.4% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reade Decker | 25.2% | 19.2% | 17.7% | 13.0% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Harris | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Daren Sathasivam | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 3.8% |
| Aidan Boylan | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 15.8% | 10.2% |
| Nathan Gerber | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 3.4% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 8.5% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Blake Roberts | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 4.0% |
| Will Cornell | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Max Case | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 4.2% |
| Sterling Maggard | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 1.4% |
| Nikita Swatek | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 17.5% | 42.4% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 5.8% |
| Sean Lipps | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 18.8% | 24.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.