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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.75+1.13vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.60+1.91vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.65+0.79vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire0.39+0.31vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39+0.79vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.39+1.75vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-0.99+0.12vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.90-1.14vs Predicted
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9Wesleyan University-1.42-1.14vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University-0.20-4.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.13University of Rhode Island1.750.4%1st Place
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3.91Boston University0.600.1%1st Place
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3.79Tufts University0.650.1%1st Place
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4.31University of New Hampshire0.390.1%1st Place
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5.79University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.1%1st Place
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7.75Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.390.0%1st Place
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7.12University of Connecticut-0.990.0%1st Place
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6.86Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.900.0%1st Place
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7.86Wesleyan University-1.420.0%1st Place
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5.47Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Sigel | 44.7% | 25.3% | 14.3% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Cabell | 13.4% | 15.4% | 18.7% | 15.0% | 13.8% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Harry Kaya Prager | 13.8% | 15.9% | 18.0% | 17.6% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| James Sullivan | 8.8% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 17.5% | 14.6% | 12.6% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Marshall Rodes | 5.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 15.6% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 5.5% |
| Joseph Gedraitis | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 21.9% | 29.3% |
| Christopher Bullock | 1.8% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 18.0% | 18.4% | 15.9% |
| cole capizzo | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 17.4% | 18.3% | 13.4% |
| Sara Beth Bouchard | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 15.9% | 18.3% | 32.0% |
| Sean Morrison | 4.7% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.