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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.75+1.14vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.60+1.89vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire0.39+1.32vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.39+1.86vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut-0.99+2.01vs Predicted
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6Wesleyan University-1.42+1.82vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.90-0.06vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.39-0.23vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University-0.20-3.54vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.65-6.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.14University of Rhode Island1.750.4%1st Place
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3.89Boston University0.600.1%1st Place
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4.32University of New Hampshire0.390.1%1st Place
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5.86University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.390.0%1st Place
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7.01University of Connecticut-0.990.0%1st Place
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7.82Wesleyan University-1.420.0%1st Place
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6.94Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.900.0%1st Place
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7.77Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.390.0%1st Place
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5.46Salve Regina University-0.200.1%1st Place
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3.79Tufts University0.650.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Sigel | 42.8% | 28.1% | 12.7% | 9.1% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Cabell | 13.2% | 16.4% | 16.8% | 16.8% | 14.2% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| James Sullivan | 11.0% | 11.0% | 16.0% | 15.3% | 16.8% | 13.1% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Marshall Rodes | 3.3% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 14.6% | 15.1% | 14.1% | 8.9% | 5.2% |
| Christopher Bullock | 3.2% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 17.4% | 19.3% | 15.9% |
| Sara Beth Bouchard | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 14.4% | 19.0% | 32.8% |
| cole capizzo | 2.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 18.2% | 18.8% | 12.3% |
| Joseph Gedraitis | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 21.4% | 30.0% |
| Sean Morrison | 6.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 15.3% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 8.3% | 2.8% |
| Harry Kaya Prager | 14.2% | 16.2% | 20.3% | 14.7% | 13.2% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.