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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.87+1.62vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.36+3.58vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.38+2.58vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.25+1.76vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44+0.30vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University0.21+1.82vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.68-2.22vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.57-2.93vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.98-4.81vs Predicted
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10McGill University-0.01-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.62Harvard University2.870.3%1st Place
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5.58Boston University1.360.1%1st Place
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5.58University of Vermont1.380.1%1st Place
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5.76Bowdoin College1.250.1%1st Place
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5.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.1%1st Place
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7.82Texas A&M University0.210.0%1st Place
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4.78Northeastern University1.680.1%1st Place
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5.07Bowdoin College1.570.1%1st Place
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4.19Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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8.29McGill University-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Meek | 34.1% | 23.2% | 17.2% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Selian | 8.8% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 4.2% |
| Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 14.6% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 3.8% |
| Christine Reimer | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 4.5% |
| Jack Derry | 8.4% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 15.0% | 11.9% | 7.6% | 3.5% |
| Michael Morse | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 12.8% | 23.3% | 32.7% |
| Sam Monaghan | 9.1% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| Ethan Danielson | 8.1% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 6.9% | 3.2% |
| Connor Rosow | 13.6% | 15.4% | 13.6% | 16.1% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 10.4% | 20.0% | 44.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.