Race 2A

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Nathan Selian 7.9% 8.4% 10.9% 10.8% 10.6% 11.3% 11.7% 13.6% 9.6% 5.2%
Robby Meek 34.2% 22.9% 18.3% 10.7% 6.8% 4.1% 2.2% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Derry 8.2% 9.6% 8.8% 8.6% 12.6% 13.6% 13.7% 11.6% 9.8% 3.5%
Sam Monaghan 8.9% 12.7% 12.3% 13.9% 12.5% 12.6% 10.3% 9.1% 6.3% 1.4%
Christine Reimer 7.5% 7.6% 8.4% 9.0% 11.3% 10.9% 12.8% 16.0% 11.5% 5.0%
Connor Rosow 13.8% 15.6% 13.8% 15.6% 11.8% 11.0% 8.8% 5.9% 2.8% 0.9%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 6.2% 8.8% 10.2% 11.4% 12.5% 12.0% 13.7% 11.7% 8.7% 4.8%
Michael Morse 2.1% 2.8% 3.8% 4.3% 4.4% 7.0% 7.3% 12.0% 24.7% 31.6%
Ethan Danielson 9.4% 9.8% 10.6% 12.0% 13.4% 12.6% 13.3% 9.2% 6.7% 3.0%
Mikhail Lavrenov 1.8% 1.8% 2.9% 3.7% 4.1% 4.9% 6.2% 10.1% 19.9% 44.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.